【东方金股】8月25-29日大盘研判及个股！
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><FONT color=#000000>【大盘回顾】<SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><FONT color=#000000>早在<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="7" Month="7" Year="2008"><SPAN lang=EN-US>7</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>7</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>上证<SPAN lang=EN-US>2669</SPAN>点时本栏就曾明确指出：“上证再跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>400</SPAN>点才能见底！”本周上证最低探至<SPAN lang=EN-US>2284</SPAN>点，随即展开大幅反弹，然后回落整理。周<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线收阴十字星，一度击穿重要支撑——<SPAN lang=EN-US>2313</SPAN>点附近的<SPAN lang=EN-US>240</SPAN>周均线；而且连续四周下跌，重心逐级下移，典型的“下楼梯”走势。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><FONT color=#000000>【均线系统】<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#000000><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">日<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线图上，</SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">上证本周探底回升、冲高回落，<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日均线几番易手，多空双方短期内在敏感位置展开激烈的反复争夺；但均线系统向下发散，空方占有惯性优势，继续向下寻求支撑的趋势依然存在</SPAN><SPAN class=hangju><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">。</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#000000><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">2、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">周</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">K</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">线图上，上证<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>周均线今年三次构筑圆弧底失败后，快速下探至<SPAN lang=EN-US>2315</SPAN>点附近的<SPAN lang=EN-US>240</SPAN>周均线并一度击穿，引发报复性大幅反弹，但立即有所回落。围绕平缓上移的<SPAN lang=EN-US>240</SPAN>周均线上下震荡筑底，已是目前最乐观的走势。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><FONT color=#000000><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">3、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">月<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线图上，上证<SPAN lang=EN-US>7</SPAN>月份收出的阳十字星已成为下跌中继，缺乏实质性的利好只能引发短暂反弹、延缓探底进程而已，<SPAN lang=EN-US>8</SPAN>月份直接考验<SPAN lang=EN-US>60</SPAN>月均线（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2274</SPAN>点附近）支撑能力的趋势依然存在。上证在<SPAN lang=EN-US>60</SPAN>月均线附近进行整固后，<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>月份有望展开反弹，高度可达<SPAN lang=EN-US>2880</SPAN>点。 </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=宋体 color=#000000 size=3>【下周预测】</FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>预测下周上证依托<SPAN lang=EN-US>240</SPAN>周均线震荡盘升，波动范围：<SPAN lang=EN-US>2370</SPAN>－<SPAN lang=EN-US>2560</SPAN>点，看涨。 <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT face=宋体 color=#000000 size=3>【短线快马】</FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>新能源：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600538</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>房地产：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600732</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>迪士尼：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600663</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>资产注入：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000737</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>股指期货：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600837</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>创投：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000811</SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体>环保：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000598<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>
<P><FONT size=3><FONT color=#000000><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">[attach]36971[/attach]</SPAN></SPAN></FONT></FONT></FONT></P>